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Forecast models suggest temperatures could fall to low single figures next week
Weather models suggest daytime temperatures could drop to the low single figures for three consecutive days next week. The forecast remains uncertain, and the p
Temperatures could drop to 2C in some inland and higher areas of the UK early on Monday, according to a Met Office forecast model, as a colder spell begins to develop.
The Met Office’s UKV model projects the lowest readings around 6am on 9 November. Greater Manchester is forecast to reach 4C and Lancashire 5C shortly before daybreak, while parts of Scotland and the Midlands are expected to be colder.
The figures are forecast temperatures, not observed readings. The model points to the sharpest chill in places where skies clear overnight, allowing temperatures to fall. The cold start is expected to follow a weekend with November temperatures broadly near average, alongside variable cloud, patchy fog and the possibility of localised overnight frost.
The Met Office outlook covering Sunday 8 November to Tuesday 10 November describes fog and frost at the start of Sunday, with rain in the north and sunnier spells later in the south. It says Monday is expected to bring a similar pattern, before conditions turn windier with rain on Tuesday.
Cloud is forecast to thicken from the south-west later on Monday, while a strengthening breeze could make conditions feel colder. The outlook suggests the week will bring more changeable weather after a period in which high pressure has largely dominated.
The Met Office’s longer-range forecast for 9 to 18 November gives a mixed picture. It says southern parts of the UK have a greater chance of turning milder and wetter for a time, while the north is more likely to stay drier.
The service says colder conditions could spread from the north across much or all of the UK towards the end of the following week. It stresses that the nature of any colder outbreak is very uncertain, although it could bring brief wintry showers to northern areas, with the south tending drier again.
The projected early-week lows therefore sit alongside a broader forecast that remains unsettled in its detail. The Met Office outlook does not present the possibility of later wintry showers as certain, and the forecast temperatures are model projections rather than a guarantee of what locations will record.
Page details
- Section
- Forecast
- Location
- UK
- Published
- 6 November 2026, 15:04
- Updated
- 6 November 2026, 15:15
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