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Met Office outlook points to possible colder spell from 11 November
A forecast for 9 to 18 November allows for colder conditions to spread south from northern Britain towards the end of the period, with wintry showers possible i
The Met Office says colder conditions could spread from northern Britain to much of the UK towards the end of next week, with wintry showers possible in the north for a short time. The outlook covers 9 to 18 November and cautions that the nature of any cold outbreak remains uncertain.
Forecasts cited for the period from 11 November suggest the coldest weather would initially affect Scotland before extending south. Northern Scotland could see temperatures fall to -3C, while the North Pennines is projected to reach -2C. Parts of Wales and southern Scotland may struggle to rise above -1C the following day.
The forecast also indicates a marked contrast across the country. London is predicted to reach about 4C, while East Anglia could see highs near 6C. The colder conditions are expected to persist through 13 November, with temperatures in many areas forecast to remain several degrees below the seasonal average.
A separate projection from the GFS weather model identifies 24 counties where daytime temperatures could fall below freezing during the three-day period. They are Cumbria, Northumberland, Lancashire and Herefordshire, along with Ross-shire and Cromartyshire, Inverness-shire, Banffshire, Argyllshire, Perthshire, Aberdeenshire, Stirlingshire, Dunbarton, Lanarkshire, West Lothian, Midlothian, Ayrshire, Dumfriesshire, Peeblesshire, Selkirkshire, Roxburghshire, Denbighshire, Merioneth, Montgomeryshire and Radnorshire.
The Met Office’s longer-range outlook allows for a different pattern earlier in the period. It says the southern half of the UK has a greater chance of becoming milder and wetter for a time, while northern areas are more likely to stay drier. The outlook then describes a possible turn colder towards the end of the following week, while stressing that the details are uncertain.
The forecaster says that change could bring brief wintry showers to northern parts of the UK, with southern areas tending drier again. The temperature estimates and county projections are model-based forecasts, rather than confirmation of conditions that have already occurred.
Page details
- Section
- Forecast
- Location
- UK
- Published
- 7 November 2026, 02:23
- Updated
- 7 November 2026, 02:27
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